The July 2018 Putin-Trump bromance is just an old news report now. Whatever deal Trump made with Putin behind Helsinki closed doors is a mystery. But it looked like the two CEOs of these gigantic corporations were ready to announce a merger. Trump threw his own intelligence community under the Russian-interference bus to protect Putin. American reporters knew something ethereal just happened, but they had to temper what they saw. Trump and Putin stood united even though Mueller issued indictments against the Russian hackers.
When Mueller’s investigation turned up the heat on Mr. Trump by releasing Michael Cohen’s description of Trump’s business relationship with Russia, Trump knew he had to act fast. The president couldn’t embrace Putin at the G20 Summit in November. That would be like running to daddy to ask him what to do now that Mueller’s knows Putin has a free $50 million penthouse coming in the Trump Tower Moscow. According to documents released by Mr. Mueller, the Trump Organization pursued the Moscow Trump Tower deal while Trump was the Republican nominee. And that Putin penthouse deal was Putin bonus for giving his blessing to build it.
When Trump canceled his meeting with Putin at the G20 and gave the Russians a lame excuse, the news reports coming out of Russia about Trump changed. When Trump first got the big job, most Russians thought relations between the two countries would improve. And that looked like a serious possibility last July. But the Russian’s didn’t buy Trump’s excuse.
That meeting snub along with Trump’s plan to pull out of that long-running nuclear treaty gave the Russian press an opportunity to say the White House brand on the world market is Trump’s unpredictability and volatility. It sounds like there’s a hidden message in that Russian message. It almost sounds like Putin’s telling Trump he’s not following the game plan, according to some news reports.
Putin knows Trump didn’t follow KGB protocol when Mr. Trump and his campaign officials did their part of the campaign deal. Now that Trump’s campaign knights put Trump in a neck-deep pool of legal sharks, it’s every man for himself, according to the Russians. They know Trump will find a way to pass the blame, and Putin knows that’s the unpredictable part of the president he played a role in electing, according to the Democrats.
Jeff Sessions, the Alabama lawyer, judge, and blatant racist did his best to get on Donald Trump’s good side during the 2016 campaign. Sessions was one of the first Republicans to support Trump. Trump didn’t know Sessions before the campaign. But Mr. Trump knew Sessions had the same thoughts as he did about immigration, and gays serving in the military. Sessions proved he was a closet racist on many occasions while he served the state of Alabama. But Jeff saw the chance of a lifetime when Trump told him he might be his attorney general. Sessions became a Trump loyalis0t. And according to CNBC, that was the decision that sealed his fate.
From that point on, Jeff Sessions was a make America great again cheerleader. He wanted to repeal state marijuana laws. And with the help of Trump and White House lawyer Don McGahn, he put conservative judges on benches across the country. Sessions and McGahn also came up with the idea to separate kids from their parents at the border. Mr. Sessions did everything Mr. Trump wanted him to do except watch over Mueller’s Russian investigation. When Sessions recused himself from the investigation, Trump lost it. Sessions became Trump’s Twitter target. Trump belittled Sessions every time his thumbs did the talking. Trump wanted to throw Sessions to the curb as soon as he recused himself, but Jeff has a lot of friends in the Senate and they protected him.
But after Trump got a down-home beating in the midterm elections, it was time to send Jeff Sessions back to Alabama. Trump fired Mr. Sessions, and he put another Trump loyalist in his place. But Trump didn’t just fire Sessions. He embarrassed and belittled him in public. Trump showed no mercy. Sessions left Washington with his tail between his legs.
Jeff recently told Politico he might hang up his political spurs. Some Alabama voters want him to run to get his old Senate seat back. But Sessions said he’s done with politics. Trump took what every politician needs to function in the big political league. Trump took Sessions will to serve away. The president painted a cartoon picture of Sessions, and Jeff had to take it without fighting back. He tried to get Trump to let up on him by turning the border and immigration issues into a legal free-for-all. But stomping on human rights wasn’t enough to change Trump’s mind. So the president parted ways with Jeff after the midterms.
Some news reports say Jeff Sessions is an old-school southern politician. He believes in justice for all, with exceptions. Jeff got the justice he deserved without exceptions, according to several news reports.
Trump lies to call Kim Jong Un “Little Rocket Man.” Kim comes from a long line of Korean strongmen who isolated North Korea from the rest of the world. Even since the end of the Korean War, North Korea kept a relatively low profile. Kim maintained a business and trade relationship with China and a couple of other countries that don’t like the way the United States plays the foreign relations game.
President Kim kept the West on nuclear notice. Kim let the world know he’s still a player on the international scene by testing North Korean missile distances. He took great pride in letting the world know his missiles could reach the United States mainland. And he wasn’t afraid to tell the world his nuclear program was ready for action if what he called, “the imperialists in the United States” wanted to go a few nuclear rounds with him. His nuclear chest thumbing got loud and scary when Trump became president. Before Trump took office, Kim would shake the political trees in the United States from time to time, but it seems Trump’s win gave Kim new purpose.
The North Korean saw an opportunity when Trump beat his political chest and dared Kim to follow through on his threats. Trump knew Kim wouldn’t back down. The North Koreans were looking for a little respect from the United States. Kim thought Trump was the guy who could make that happen.
Mr. Trump set up a meeting with Trump to show his voter base he could tame the nuclear menace by using Trump philosophy on the dictator. And Kim thought he could get the brutal sanctions lifted if he made it look like he would do what Trump wanted. Trump wanted Kim to end his nuclear program and act like a Trump fan. Kim knew Trump needed a win back home so he said his country would stop their nuclear program.
But in true Kim Jong Un form, the deal with Trump was more about perceptions than reality. North Korea hasn’t put a plug on its nuclear efforts, according to Rappler’s news report. So Trump wants to set up another meeting in 2019, according to Reuters.
Americans heard Donald Trump’s message about Russia over and over again. Mr. Trump stands by that message. He didn’t have anything to do with Russia in terms of pending real estate deals or Russian interference in the 2016 election. But both Trumpian facts are now under a lot of scrutiny. Robert Mueller’s investigation has become more than an investigation into Russian collusion. His investigation is blowing the roof off Trump’s alleged cover-up. Mr. Trump and his team of unsavory associates and family members are in political hot water, and it looks like that hot water may burn one Trump family member.
Michael Cohen, a loyal Trump lawyer before and during the 2016 campaign, threw a legal hand grenade at Trump when he pleaded guilty to lying to Congress after meeting with Robert Mueller’s team. Cohen put a timeline on Trump’s quest to build a Trump Tower in Moscow. That timeline conflicts with Cohen’s original testimony before Congress. Cohen told Mueller the Trump Organization wanted a deal with the Russians and Putin knew about the project. The Trump Organization allegedly offered Putin a free penthouse in the new Moscow Trump Tower in exchange for his help. Mr. Cohen also said the deal didn’t fall through until June 2016. By that time, Trump was the Republican nominee.
Mr. Cohen wants a reduced sentence for cooperating with Mueller. That may happen, but some legal experts say he’ll spend four or five years behind bars. But whatever happens to Cohen will fade as Mueller exposes more lies from Trump loyalists. Campaign associates Roger Stone and Jerome Corsi are on the verge of cracking under Mueller’s legal tactics. They could join the other six Trump supporters who now have a prison term in their future.
But the Congressional spotlight now shines on Donald Trump Jr. Don Jr. said a few things under oath on his first trip to Capitol Hill. Young Donald claimed no knowledge or a little knowledge about a pending real estate deal in Russia. Cohen’s recent testimony shows Don Jr. played an instrumental role in the Russian Trump Tower deal as well as the Trump’s campaign quest to meet with the Russians to get dirt on Hillary Clinton.
Now that the Democrats are in the driver’s seat in Congress, Don Jr. is in store from some heavy-duty grilling by the Congressmen on both sides of the aisle. The president knows Don Jr. may take the fall for being a loyal minion. News reporters will keep a close eye on what Mueller and Congress do next. And what the president says about his son’s alleged lying.
Michael Cohen, Trump’s former lawyer told Mueller’s team he lied to Congress when he said Trump wasn’t trying to make a business deal with Putin during the 2016 campaign. Trump said Cohen’s lying, but at last count, four former Trump campaign officials are in line for orange jumpsuits. Another Trump supporter, Roger Stone, could be next. Stone got a supporting role in the campaign through his connections with WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange. Jerome Corsi, a conservative conspiracy theorist got on the Trump campaign wagon because they both believe Obama is a Muslim. And according to the Mueller investigation leaks, Corsi supplied Stone with information on high-level Democrats. Mr. Stone allegedly passed the information to Assange. Corsi did have a plea deal in place with Mueller, but he changed his mind.
Six close friends of Donald Trump had some kind of interaction with the Russians during the campaign. And when you add Don Jr.’s name, it’s seven. Don Jr. attended the Trump Tower meeting with Paul Manafort and Jared Kushner. Jared Kushner makes eight. But the president continues to tell his followers he had nothing to do with the Russians during the campaign. But he did ask them to look into Hillary Clinton’s emails.
Trump has beefed up his attacks on Mueller because Paul Manafort’s lawyer called Trump’s lawyer. Some legal experts say that’s a foul, but it’s anybody’s guess what they talked about. But according to the Washington Post, Trump stepped up his tweet attacks on Mueller after the phone conversation between Rudy Giuliani and Paul Manafort’s lawyer. And to add more intrigue into the mix, Trump left the door open for a Paul Manafort pardon after that phone call.
All the reports about Donald Trump and the Russians seem to have a common thread running through them, according to some political analysis. Trump and Putin are businessmen. Trump wants to do business in Russia, and Putin wants to do more business deals in the United States, according to conspiracy theorists. With Clinton out of the way, and Trump running the global show like a bad Nintendo player, Putin has a chance to screw Democracy the good old Soviet way, according to several news reports. No one knows the full story yet, but Mueller thinks he’s got part of the story figured out. Putin helped Trump get elected, but Mueller can’t say that without proof. Some people say Trump’s relationship with Paul Manafort is that proof.
The Mueller investigation seems to be on Trump’s mind more these days. Trump sticks to his “Witch Hunt” theory and he claims his campaign stayed within the letter of the campaign law. But no one told all those loyal Trump campaign officials they had to play by the rules. Four former Trump campaign officials broke the rules and then flipped on the President to cut some time off their jail time. Two more Trump undercover campaign agents are on the verge of being indicted by Mueller.
There’s been a lot of talk about the legality of collusion. Trump says collusions doesn’t qualify as a crime. But remember, Trump got most of his legal training from Roy Cohn, the New York shyster and un-legal enforcer who knew how to get judges to see things his way. Several Sunday morning news reports focused on the fact that Mueller gonna give Trump some devastating political news. Even Alan Dershowitz said Mueller’s report on Russian interference in the 2016 election will be mess-up Trump’s product-filled hair.
But the fly in the Mueller ointment could be a game-changer. Matt Whitaker, the controversial attorney general, is that fly. The Democrats think Whitaker will handle the Mueller report in a way that benefits the president. Whitaker said he would do the right thing, but his past choices may not confirm he follows a righteous path.
Meanwhile, Mr. Trump wants to cut the deficit that increased by $2 trillion since he took office. The federal government’s debt sits at $21.7 trillion. Maybe Trump will come clean and pay the government all the money he owes by allegedly cooking the books and using his foundation money for personal gain. But thanks to the agenda he’s put in motion, the national debt will continue to increase due to bipartisan spending increases and the Trump tax cut.
Trump wants Mueller’s investigation to go away. He knows he’ll have a hard time justifying the part he played in throwing Hillary Clinton under the Russian interference bus. But Mueller won’t stop until he brings Democracy back to the forefront in the United States.
Donald Trump’s Republican army may not be able to protect him when Mueller circles his indictment wagons around him, and he begins to show the world what Trump’s been hiding for the last two years. The old story ‘if it walks like a duck and talks like a duck,” it must be a duck rings out as campaign aide after campaign aide gets an indictment notice. Even Trump’s financial idols, Paul Manafort, and Roger Stone are fair game in the Mueller investigation. Manafort has his orange suit on, and Stone may be wearing orange next if Jerome Corsi follows through and works out a plea deal with Mueller.
Corsi, the conspiracy theorist and conservative writer, and Roger Stone worked together during the campaign. Corsi got the down-low information on key Democratic figures during the campaign. Mueller’s team wants to know if Stone and WikiLeaks had something going on during the campaign. It smells like Stone played a role in getting WikiLeaks to release Hillary Clinton’s emails, according to the Democrats. Corsi supplied Stone with information, and Stone made sure WikiLeaks made the emails public. Stone denies that accusation, but Corsi may add some color to Stone’s story, according to the Washington Post.
Corsi wanted to help Trump. Corsi put the bug in Trump’s ear about Obama lying about his birthplace. But now that the Mueller team put the pressure on Corsi, he wants to come clean. He knows Mueller holds his fate in his legal hands, but he’s not sure he wants to throw Stone under the Mueller bus. According to the Washington Post, Stone said Corsi did what any investigative journalist would do to help his friends. Stone’s convinced Corsi’s action during the campaign have First Amendment protection.
Mr. Corsi claims Mueller and his team made his mind feel like “mush” after 40 hours on the Mueller hot seat. Corsi almost agreed to a plea before Thanksgiving, but he said he thought the prosecutors weren’t interested in what he had to say. He even said he felt like a victim and the Mueller team didn’t play nice. Mueller seems to get the truth out of wealthy scoundrels.
Mr. Trump had no comment when he heard about Corsi’s alleged plea. Corsi’s lawyer didn’t say much either. And as always, no comment from Mueller. He’s too busy trying to figure out what Trump’s easy answers mean to his Russian investigation. Mueller knows Trump has a tendency to stretch the truth like a string of silly putty, so for now, Trump’s part in Russia’s plan to embarrass Hillary Clinton remains a mystery.
Retired Supreme Court Justice Sandra Day O’Connor revealed that she probably suffers from the early stages of Alzheimer’s disease. The 88-year old explained through a letter that she would no longer be making public appearances due to the illness. O’Connor says that she was informed of the diagnosis “a while ago.”
The announcement made by O’Connor came on the heels of a report by the ABC News stating that a public appearance made by the retired Supreme Court Justice two years ago would be her last.
Jay O’Connor, the son of the retired justice, says that his mother struggles at times with her short-term memory and is forced to use a wheelchair. The younger O’Connor goes on to say that about two years ago his mother realized that it was time for her to slow down a little. He said that her health concerns, combined with the fact that she has accomplished most things she intended to in her post-retirement years, made the decision to scale back her public life an easy one.
Justice O’Connor retired in 2006 to help care for her ailing husband, John O’Connor. John also suffered from Alzheimer’s disease and died in 2009. He was 79 years of age.
O’Connor testified before a Senate committee in 2008 regarding her husband’s medical condition. She explained through her testimony that only by experiencing the disease first hand could a person understand the frustration experienced by sufferers and their families.
The announcement made by O’Connor highlighted the fact that civics learning became the main focus for her after her retirement from the Supreme Court. She also made it known that she would like to see a national initiative for civics education funded. O’Connor expressed that civic engagement and education should be available to all American citizens. She expressed a hope that the nation will commit to educating young people on these matters.
John G. Roberts, The Court’s Chief Justice, expressed sadness at the news of O’Connor’s illness. Justice Roberts also said that he was not surprised that O’Connor used the moment to further the American cause and encourage civic engagement among citizens.
Roberts commended O’Connor for breaking down barriers for women in the legal profession. He went on to say that the work of O’Connor has been a benefit to the profession and the United States as a whole. Roberts ended by saying O’Connor is a role model to all that seeks justice.
Brett Kavanaugh was confirmed to the Supreme Court by a narrow margin On Saturday. The United States Senate voted 50 to 48 to make Kavanaugh the newest member of the highest court in the nation. The vote followed heated confirmation hearings and an FBI investigation that included allegations of sexual assault against Kavanaugh.
Bystanders report that loud shouting could be heard before and after the vote was taken. There were also hundreds of protesters outside the Supreme Court. Police arrested dozens of individuals when they rushed a police barricade.
Straits Times.com says that the confirmation of Kavanaugh was considered a surety once three key senators gave their endorsement to him. These key votes were cast by Susan Collins from Maine and Arizona’s Jeff Flake, both Republicans. The two were joined in their support of Kavanaugh by Democratic Senator Joe Manchin from West Virginia.
A Standing Committee of the ABA previously rated Kavanaugh as well-qualified in their assessment of the judge’s worthiness made to the Senate Judiciary Committee. However, the Standing Committee made it known to the Judiciary Committee on Friday that their assessment of Kavanaugh is currently under re-evaluation.
The re-evaluation of Kavanaugh is attributed to new information regarding his temperament. The result of the re-evaluation was not known when the Senate vote was conducted.
Kavanaugh is a graduate of Yale Law School and has been a U.S. Appeals Court Judge in Washington D.C. since 2006. Kavanaugh will now possess a seat on the Supreme Court that was made available when Justice Anthony Kennedy decided to retire.
The initial confirmation hearings of Kavanaugh included intense questioning regarding the Senator’s views on a number of issues including the rights of gays, abortion, and the powers available to the president.
The calmness displayed by Kavanaugh during the first hearings was gone by September 27 as the second hearings were underway. Kavanaugh seemed angry at times while defending his name against allegations made by Christine Blasey Ford that he sexually assaulted her.
Ford testified that Kavanaugh attempted to rape her at a party while both were students in high school. Ford’s account of the incident is that Kavanaugh shoved her onto a bed and placed himself on top of her. She said the Senator attempted to remove her bathing suit while groping her.
A subsequent investigation by the FBI resulted in nine people being interviewed. However, neither of the people were Ford or Kavanaugh. One former classmate at Yale that was interviewed, Deborah Ramirez, says that Kavanaugh exposed himself inappropriately to her at a party.
Morton Katz is a 99-year-old attorney who has no plans to retire. He stated that he will not retire until they carry him out of the courtroom. Morton started practicing law in 1951. He became a lawyer after he served in World War II.
Morton stated on Press Herald that he loves what he does. He also stated that he does not know what he would be doing if he was not practicing law. Morton said that he has his hard days, but he still loves what he does.
Morton was educated at Connecticut State College. After he graduated from college, he served in World War II. He went to law school after World War II was over.
Omar Williams is the Superior Court Judge. He stated that Morton is able to handle tough cases and is good at his job. He also stated that Morton does superior work.
Morton is a public defender and gets paid $350 for every case that he takes on. If the case goes to the trial, he is paid an hourly wage on top of the $350. He also does a lot of free legal work.
Morton’s uncle paid to get him through college. Morton offered to pay his uncle back, but his uncle refused that offer. That is what motivated Morton to go into public service. He stated that if someone needs your help, then you will need to help them.
The American Bar Association has stated that it does not know whether Morton is the oldest practicing lawyer in the United States. Ernie Lewis is the executive director of the National Association of Public Defenders. He has practiced for 31 years and stated that there is no one who is close to Morton’s age still practicing.
Morton regularly attends seminars so that he can stay up-to-date with legal changes. Judge Williams says that Morton is a fine example of the best that humankind has to offer.
A 27-year-old Florida man who has confessed to biting his dog for purposes of establishing dominance over it has entered a guilty plea to a felony animal cruelty charge. He also admitted to punching the dog in the face. In return for the plea, he was able to avoid a prison sentence. A Palm Beach County judge sentenced the man to four years of probation. He has been prohibited from possessing animals of any kind or living with anybody who has animals on their property. The man must also undergo a mental health evaluation and follow any recommendations. In order to monitor the defendant’s probation, his home has been ordered subject to random inspections by Palm Beach County Animal Care and Control agents or the Palm Beach County Sheriff’s Department. In addition, 300 hours of public service must be served at a minimum of 10 hours per month. The sentence is subject to a two year reduction if the terms of probation are successfully served.
According to the Daily Mail, a deputy was dispatched in May of 2018 to the man’s apartment after a caller reported hearing slamming noises and somebody abusing a dog. Upon speaking with the man’s roommates, one of them said that the dog’s owner “beat the hell out of him.” The dog was found shaking in the man’s bedroom closet that had been blocked off by a couch. There was blood on the dog’s ear and on the closet floor. One of the roommates told police that he saw the defendant beating the dog more than once. He reportedly left the dog “on his back with his paws up, and crying.” Another roommate stated that he heard the dog crying in pain while the man beat it. The dog’s owner reported that he was disciplining the dog after it “destroyed several items in the apartment.”
The dog, a two-year-old Siberian Husky named Dimitri was seized by animal control officials. Its condition and whereabouts are presently unknown.
Ted Bauman says that not everyone is in agreement about President Trump’s trade war, but it’s giving investors the chance to purchase stocks from the biggest companies in China. One example is iShares China Large-Cap ETF, and it is currently down 10 percent year-to-date.
The stocks that comprise the aforementioned ETF include China Mobile, Tencent Holdings, banks, insurance companies, chemical companies and oil companies. These companies are growing, and investors now have a chance to take part in it.
Along with that growth comes some of the lowest price tags the market has seen in several years.
In the past year, companies listed in the ETF listed above earned nearly $15.50 per share. Currently, the price-to-earnings ratio is equal to 2.6. To find prices at a valuation that low, you would have to travel back to the year 2010. In 2013, investors were willing to pay 15 times earnings for this ETF, so today’s prices are an incredible bargain.
If we look at this with an outlook toward dividends, we can still see the decrease. The yield of the fund’s semiannual distributions comes out to approximately 3.6 percent. That’s the highest that it has been since 2009. These companies are trading at their lowest stock prices as compared to their asset value.
On Monday, investors were able to purchase this stock for $42 per share, and that is a discount of 22 percent. You would have to go back to before 2009 to see prices that low.
Things were very different in 2009 from the way they are today in 2018. Back then, China’s stock values were in harmony with U.S. stocks and global asset values, and new and old markets were digging their way out of the day’s financial crisis.
Now, we can describe the entire scene as “out of harmony.” If we imagine a teeter-totter, the U.S. market is on the top, and equity markets around the world are scraping the bottom.
The scenario described above is going to end at some point. When this happens, the newer markets will be able to enter the game again. Cheap markets like China’s will be able to offer investors growth and are going to be where investors will want to be.
Trump’s Trade War
President Donald Trump placed tariffs in the amount of $50 billion on China’s exports. Not to be outdone, the Chinese placed tariffs in the amount of $34 billion on American exports. After that happened, President Trump announced that he would add $200 billion in tariffs if the Chinese dare to retaliate. Because of the drama that has been unfolding, the indices have been moving down the scale.
The tariffs are considered to be President Trump’s answer to the intellectual property theft that China has been engaging in for several years. The fact that the trade practices were seen as unfair to American businesses is also a factor. To some, President Trump’s actions are a show of strength right before November’s elections. Every member of the House of Representatives is running to hold his or her seat this fall. Only 35 out of the 100 senators are currently running in an election this year.
Trump’s trade war also had the effect of causing China’s currency to fall. Tariffs have been placed on Chinese goods, so this encouraged China’s government to loosen its hold on the yuan. As recently as August 13, the yuan was trading at 6.89 to the dollar. It could continue to move, but the actions taken by the Central Bank are expected to keep it below 7.
As the currencies move, the stock prices adjust to them. For example, the Shanghai Composite is down 18 percent for 2018. Tensions between China and the U.S. began to increase in June, and that is when the composite started to fall.
Does this mean that American investors should sell Chinese stocks?
If you were to ask Ted Bauman, he would tell you not to sell. It’s time to buy Chinese stocks!
Who Is Ted Bauman?
Ted Bauman was born in Washington, D.C., but he moved to South Africa to attend the University of Cape Town. He graduated after he earned two postgraduate degrees in history and economics. In the 25 years that he lived in South Africa, Ted Bauman worked in the nonprofit sector as a fund manager. Slum Dwellers was a project that he had a hand in serving, and it allowed him to be of assistance to more than 14 million people in 35 countries.
Mr. Bauman was never a finance or investment specialist, but he witnessed how governmental powers had a stranglehold on the people, and this made it impossible for these people to get ahead. He wanted to do something about this, so he was motivated to join Banyan Hill Publishing. After he had been back in the United States for a little while, his father recruited him to take over his current position as a finance writer, and that is how he became a part of Banyan Hill Publishing.
Ted Bauman currently writes The Bauman Letter to teach his readers how to trade the markets so that they can gain the personal freedom that everyone is seeking.
China has a strategy. The plan is to wait and see what President Trump is going to do next. The Central Bank is not using the yuan as a weapon. It is taking advantage of currency swaps to keep the yuan at its current value. It is allowing Tokyo to be the leading market in the area so that it can concentrate on tactics that will reduce speculation.
China’s government is placing just as many tariffs on American goods as America is placing on China’s goods, but it is going out of its way not to elevate the trade war. The state media pundits are speaking brashly while the government has its eye on the long term. Because of this, Chinese stocks are cheap right now. Alibaba is growing at this time, but its price-to-earnings ratio has recently fallen to 48.6.
China’s economy is two-thirds the size of the U.S. economy. Newspapers currently have a new headline in East Asia because they are reporting that China is going to start producing goods in Vietnam. It will be much cheaper there. China’s population is aging, and the people are starting to become consumers. The infrastructure in the country is first rate, and the people are educated. This means that its markets have finished emerging and are currently emerged.
What does all of this mean?
According to Ted Bauman, it means that China has plenty of consumers within its own borders, and since it is in control of overseas production, it can face the U.S. as an equal in a trade war. The U.S. appears to not have considered these truths, but since China has, it is preparing to be a secure entity in a sea of instability.
People are saying that America is winning the trade war, but this is not the truth. Whenever there is a trade war, there are only losers. All the participants can do is keep their losses to a minimum. China’s losses will be in its market share, and Chinese businesses will adjust to this, but it will be able to say that its economic woes are the fault of the U.S.
Because of the trade war, Chinese stocks are bargains for Americans. China is currently leaving its lower wage industries behind while it keeps a strong hold on other East Asian economies. The difference is that the U.S. is looking at China, but China is only looking at China.
The Maryland tech council is the largest technology trade association based in Gaithersburg Maryland with over 450 members. It actively engages in building strong technology as well as life science industries, and supports the efforts of its members who are driving innovation by giving them a forum to learn, share, connect and develop workforce. The organization has two divisions, advance tech (MD tech) and life sciences (Maryland life sciences). It was started in 2017 when the two largest tech groups in the state merged. These include the Chesapeake Regional Tech Council and Technology Council of Maryland Inc.
In August the association announced that its CEO back then, Tami Howie, was leaving the organization and returning to her professional roots at DLA piper, where she served as a law partner .Tami was praised to have been instrumental in implementing the strategic vision of the organization. Under her leadership, the organization was able to grow its industry and regional visibility, accelerate government relations agenda and unite the community’s constituents.
According to a report by baltimoresun.com, though the organizations board had previously stated that they were not sure when they would fill the void left by Tami Howie, Maryland tech council on Wednesday appointed Marty Rosendale as the new CEO effective immediately. Marty Rosendale is not new in the industry as he was an advisor of this same organization. He is said to have championed several successful enterprises in different sectors in the market, pushed for equity based capital for private and public companies and non-dilutive capital through planned collaborations. According to the chairman and president of Maryland tech council, Marty knows the organization intimately and understands the sectors of its membership and constituents focus. He also brings in a lot of experience and visionary mindset. His recent work was at Newport Board Group, a professional firm that offers help to leaders, and has also worked in biotech and medical device companies.
The appointment of the new CEO could not have come at a more suitable time, as the organization will be hosting the third edition of Bio+Tech18 from September 26 to 27 2018. Bio+Tech18 is a conference that brings together abundant networking and collaboration opportunities with professionals in life sciences and technology creating an opportunity to bring forth new innovations. Among its number of events, Maryland tech council also honors individuals that have exceeded expectations through their careers, in service of the technology and life sciences communities.
Just days before the judiciary committee is set to vote to advance the Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh ,some rather embarrassing allegations of sexual assault against him emerge. Christine Blasey Ford, the alleged victim claims that Kavanaugh attacked her 35 years ago during a high school bash. In a letter written to a senior law maker of the Democratic Party, she gave a detailed account of how the incident happened.
These allegations have, however, raised a lot of questions by the republicans, wondering why the young professor at Palo Alto University had decided to stay mute for all these years, only to resurface on the eve of the vote. Kanavaugh, who claimed not to know the accuser until she identified herself, has since refuted the allegations by categorically denying the allegations, saying that he did not do that sort of thing in high school or at any time. Kavanaugh has served as a judge in the court of appeals in the US for the District of Columbia since 2006. He was later nominated for a spot on the U.S Supreme Court by President Donald Trump as a replacement to the outgoing justice Anthony Kennedy, in July 2018. Kavanaugh went to the renown Yale law school and has worked in the White House for President George W bush as a counsel and staff secretary, making him very a great intellect and most qualified for the impending advancement.
Brett Kavanaugh has had a smooth running and successful career. He was about to make his next big step through the Supreme Court nomination, when the accusations came knocking. Although the allegations could pose as a major hitch to his political career, Senator John Kennedy on Sunday stated that the vote would proceed as planned, on Thursday. He also talked of how embarrassed he had been by the whole process, saying that the hearings have had been marred by constant interruptions by protesters.
Despite Senator Kennedy’s sentiments, many feel that Kavanaugh should be worried of losing the nomination, given the nature of the accusations .Both the accused and the accuser are set to testify under oath before the judiciary committee of the US Senate. Dough Jones, a democrat elected to the senate calls for a pause on the nominations but even if they resume business, whether the vote will be in favor of or against Kavanaugh will highly depend on the direction that the sexual misconduct allegations will take.
In the United States, elections are won or lost more often by differences in voter turnout among various demographics than in how all the eligible voters in a particular jurisdiction actually view a particular candidate or issue. This is because voter turnout in the United States is far lower than in most other established democracies around the world, which leaves the outcome of elections up to those who actually vote. Understanding the complexities of why Americans don’t vote is critical to putting NGP VAN software to the best use. It is also critical in using NGP VAN software to win elections.
Let’s look at the overarching stats. In the 2010 and 2014 midterm elections, voter turnout hovered around forty percent. This means that the majority of Americans who were eligible to vote, around sixty percent, did not vote! Sadly, this means that tens of millions of potential American voters did not vote for senators, representatives, county supervisors, mayors, city council members, sheriffs, school board members, bond initiatives, or in many other elections that truly matter. Of course, this also include candidates for state houses where members determine the enactment of important state laws and how a state’s money will be spent.
The only positive that could be said about low voter turnout in America is the fact there is a lot of upside available to candidates and issues where the entire pool of eligible voters would prefer change. The use of NGP VAN software can certainly help turn out more voters that don’t normally vote in midterm elections. Consider this stat too for those individuals already thinking ahead to the 2020 presidential election. On average, only about sixty percent of all eligible Americans vote in presidential elections. If you start planning now, NGP VAN software can be a very potent tool, a not so secret “secret weapon” if you will, to turning out some of the forty percent of voters who haven’t voted in the past during presidential elections.
By contrast to voter turnout in America, most other democracies turn out on average, 70-90 percent of all eligible voters, even during “off year” elections. For example, Germany has about a 76 percent voter turnout. Denmark and Sweden both have about an 86 percent voter turnout. This is based on data from the International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (IDEA), which is considered one of the most trusted sources for this type of data. While America may not be ready yet for voter turnout quite this high, the good news is that all indications suggest that voters are more engaged going into the 2018 midterms than they have been in decades. NGP VAN software can help tap into that swell of interest and turn it into actual votes!
In some democracies, adults can actually lose the legal right to vote for an extended period of time, if they fail to vote. For example, in Belgium if a voter doesn’t vote in four consecutive elections, they lose the legal right to vote for ten years. According to the IDEA, voter turnout in Belgium is about 89 percent so this type of “compulsory voting” does seem to work. Similar penalties exist in Australia where voter turnout is a whopping 91 percent. In most democracies, there is also a certain amount of public shaming and other serious consequences to those who don’t vote, such as the inability to get a public job.
Americans cherish their freedoms so it stands to reason that compulsory voting would likely not be popular in the United States. However, U.S. citizens do take pride in encouraging each other to vote, engaging with one another, and having a spirited debate on the candidates and the issues. When an election is all said and done, however, if this spirited discussion does not convert into votes, then what’s the purpose from a practical standpoint? NGP VAN software can help turn what Americans actually care about into real life votes that can turn elections in favor of your candidate or issue.
Think about this. Just a small increase in voter turnout, among certain demographics, can easily change the outcome of elections. This is true for local elections, state elections, and national elections. Activists and campaigns have come to depend on NGP VAN software to help them turn out voters who support their candidate or issue. Let’s look at some of the details about why eligible voters don’t vote and how you can use NGP VAN software to increase voter turnout for your candidate or issue.
What Can Be Learned From the Pew Research Center?
On June 1, 2017, Gustavo Lopez and Antonio Flores of the Pew Research Center released a report on why the registered voters who did not vote in 2016 didn’t vote. Here is the breakdown, by percentage, that they found in their extensive survey:
– Didn’t like candidates or campaign issues: 25 percent
– Not interested, felt vote wouldn’t make a difference: 15 percent
– Too busy or conflicting schedule: 14 percent
– Illness or disability: 12 percent
– Other: 11 percent
– Out of town or away from home: 8 percent
– Registration problems: 4 percent
– Forgot to vote: 3 percent
– Transportation problems: 3 percent
– Inconvenient hours or polling places: 2 percent
First, while it may be tempting to direct most of the energy of a campaign into addressing the most most common reasons Americans don’t vote, it may actually serve your candidate or cause better to step back and determine what issues are the “lowest hanging fruit” in terms of how easily solved these issues are. In looking at the list above of reasons people don’t vote, the most common one, while incredibly important, is probably the hardest to address. On the other hand, the bottom three issues, accounting for a total of 8 percent of those surveyed, seem much easier to tackle, especially with the help of NGP VAN software. Since many elections are won or lost by a small difference in voter turnout, these less common voter turnout issues could be absolutely pivotal in winning! Let’s take them one at at time.
People who work for or volunteer for political campaigns sometimes exist in a bit of a bubble, at least when it comes to what how important voting is to most people. The act of voting is so paramount to them, they don’t fully realize that to other people, voting may not rank as high on the priority list. So yes, believe it or not, some people in every election, simply forget to vote. If your team uses NGP VAN software to track who supports your candidate or issue when phone banking and canvassing, you can very easily generate lists of people to courteously remind to vote. In fact, you can ask your phone bankers and canvassers to actually ask people if they’d like to have email reminders, text message reminders, or phone reminders about when and where to vote. Many voters actually appreciate this very much. You can then have that entered into the NGP VAN voter database you create and follow through diligently on these reminders.
It looks like three percent of the voters surveyed in the Pew Research Poll cited transportation problems as the reason they did not vote. Remember, this three percent is an average. Transportation could be an even bigger issue in your particular district. So, you can create a higher voter turnout for your candidate or issue by simply adding a place in your NGP VAN voter database to ask people if they need a ride to the polls. If a voter says yes, you can have volunteers give them a ride. You can also create lists from your NGP VAN voter database of those who need a ride to the polls and have your phone bankers call these people a few days beforehand and check in with them to remind them that you are providing them with transportation to the polls and to make the specific arrangements.
Two percent of those polled said their reason for not voting had to do with inconvenience, either in the hours established in their precinct or with some problem with the polling places. For example, starting in the 2016 primary, Arizona closed hundreds of polling places. This made it much more difficult for many voters to get to their polls. Lines were much longer than they had been in previous elections and and the wait time to vote increased substantially as a result. Some people waited for hours to vote and suffer heat stroke and other serious medical conditions. Ambulance rescue was hailed. Other voters got frustrated and left. Some parents HAD to leave because they needed to pick up their kids.
The above situation can be ameliorated by using NGP VAN software to first identify voters who support your candidate or issue and then train volunteers to make these voters are aware that Arizona does allow for “no excuse” early voting. This means a voter can vote early, absentee, without having to provide any specific excuse. The same is true in many other states, although voters don’t often know this. Once your team has identified voters with this potential problem within your NGP VAN voter database, you can then institute an outreach program to find workarounds. So in Arizona, for example, you could have your volunteers help educate people on how to vote absentee. You could even put more emphasis on elderly voters, parents, and others who may be more affected by long lines at the polls.
It should be noted that the Pew Research Center self identifies as a “nonpartisan fact tank,” but perhaps more importantly, their data is one of the most trusted sources for general voter turnout data. They conduct scientifically valid opinion polling and demographic research that is used by political strategists of all political persuasions. Further, their social science methodology is well respected among academics. If you use this data as your guide to brainstorm with your campaign organizers, you can put the NGP VAN software to good use in implementing a winning strategy. You could use the same tactic for voters who may be very busy or potentially have a conflict in their schedule.
What Can Be Learned From National Public Radio (NPR)?
Last week, NPR broadcast a special series of stories they called, “On The Sidelines Of Democracy.” They sent three reporters out into the field to explore the reasons Americans don’t vote. They talked with actual voters, went out with voting advocacy groups, and talked to experts about their data. Information gleaned from this NPR series can be used to make better use of the NGP VAN software.
Leila Fadel headed to El Paso Texas, a place where voter turnout is lower than average, even by American standards. El Paso is a poor community, with about half of the citizens living below the poverty line. Most don’t have health insurance either. Leila spoke to a working mom picking up cookies for her daughter at a local bakery. After admitting she didn’t even really know who’s running, she states this about voting, “I don’t really think about it. It’s kind of sad to say but I don’t really think about what can be better in my life… I do what I can do to make my life better and I don’t depend on them to change things for me.” By “them,” the working mom is referring to politicians.
This woman’s sentiment about voting is quite common. Many non-voters don’t really make the connection between voting and improving their life or even the life of their family. Using NGP VAN software makes it much easier to keep track of what concerns voters have. For example, phone bankers can ask questions like, “If you could change one or two things in your life, what would you change?” Depending on their answers, various lists can be made within NGP VAN and given to volunteers who can then explain during followups why their particular candidate or issue would address their biggest issues. In this way, NGP VAN can help you allow non-voters to target themselves with the issues they care most about.
Asma Khalid headed to Georgia where she interviewed non-voters who were quite discouraged about voting. One woman in Houston County told her, “It doesn’t matter whether I’m registered to vote or whether I go vote because I don’t see anything changing. We’re still being profiled. We’re still being gunned down. We’re still being, nothing is changing.”
A man in a Georgia barbershop explained his reason for not voting in the following way, “The reason I don’t vote on a national level around here, it’s a red state,in other words, I’m pretty sure I could do my own mathematics and figure out what’s going on but I know this vote is not really going to really matter for president.”
There are many real and perceived barriers to voting that Americans face. NPG VAN software can help you help your candidate or issue by creating a highly customized voter database that identifies the key voting hurdles in your specific area. Does a large swathe of your potential voters feel their vote doesn’t count for some reason? Do they feel nothing changes even if they do vote? Do they stay home on election day because they think the outcome is predetermined? Once you identify these voting barriers in the NGP VAN voter database your team creates, you can use it to strategize on messaging. You can also modify and tailor your messaging for specific areas depending on the barriers that potential voters in those areas express.
Asma also went to Nevada to talk with non-voters and voting activists and came back with more invaluable insights. For Nevadians aged 18-29, Las Vegas has one of the worst voter turnouts in the country. Asma interviewed a non-voting mom in this age bracket living with her parents and siblings, “It’s not easy, you know, being a mom and then being wife, having to cook and just still trying to keep up with work and school… One of the main reasons why I haven’t voted is because I feel that I’m always too busy.” Remember too, the Pew Research Center found that 14 percent of non-voters polled said they were too busy and or had a conflict in their schedule.
NGP VAN software can help you help potential voters overcome the issue of being too busy to vote in a number of ways. First, your team can develop lists of registered voters that don’t vote very often from the shared pre-existing voter data found in the NGP VAN system. Second, you can incorporate questions that will help identify this potential problem and incorporate this into the script canvassers use. This is now made exceptionally easy with the MiniVAN Touch smartphone app.
Depending on how a potential voter answers a question such as, “Does your schedule allow you to vote?” the app can prompt the next question or response depending on what they said. For example, if the potential voter says they want to vote but they usually don’t have time to vote, your canvassers can talk with them about alternative ways to vote other than actually standing in lines at the polls. Third, you can use the NGP VAN personalized voter database you create to have your canvassers follow up with this voter to ensure they successfully accomplished the alternative form of voting and determine if they may need some help in setting that up or maybe just some additional encouragement to stop procrastinating.
Asma also encountered a community activist that explains that politicians sometimes pay more attention to issues that seniors care about, such as social security, than issues like student loan debt that younger voters care about. While this may be a rather pessimistic view for younger people, there was also good news from this activist. He showed Asma an example of a young voter who was contacted by canvassers in 2016 FOUR times. The persistence paid off because she did vote on election day! NGP VAN software can help your team keep track of every contact with every voter so that your team can build on each interaction so that each contact improves your odds that you will get the person to vote.
Good luck on your campaigns and be sure to use NGP VAN software to improve your success!